Ethereum (ETH/USD) Weekly Chart Analysis - Week 27, 2025

Ethereum (ETH/USD) Weekly Chart Analysis - Week 27, 2025

  • Jul 04, 2025
  • Shahnawaz Alam by Shahnawaz Alam
  • Crypto
  • Current Price: $2,592
  • Trend: Attempting recovery after a major pullback.

πŸ”‘ Key Observations:

  1. Major Resistance Levels:
    • $2,800 – $3,200: Strong supply zone with multiple past rejections.
    • Significant congestion below $4,000, which capped previous bull runs.
  2. Immediate Support Levels:
    • $2,558 (first level supportβ€”near-term stability).
    • $2,535
    • $2,403
    • Stronger support sits at:
      • $2,275 (volume cluster + structural).
      • POC: $1,642β€”This is the historical Point of Control where most trading activity has occurred.
  3. Bearish Risk Levels (Downside Targets):
    • If the current bounce fails, price could revisit:
      • $1,600
      • $1,200
      • Extreme bear case: sub-$1,000 zone (unlikely unless a market-wide crash).
  4. Chart Patterns:
    • Multiple M-shaped double tops and W-shaped double bottoms suggest a volatile but well-respected pattern structure.
    • Current recovery is from a higher low compared to previous major lows (positive for bulls).
  5. TD Sequential & Elliott Wave:
    • Several TD 9s and 13s are visible, signaling potential exhaustion in both directions.
    • The current upward move looks like it could be Wave 3 or Wave 5, but still within a broader corrective context.
  6. Fibonacci Levels:
    • Fib retracements show key levels aligned with historical price congestion zones.
    • The risk of a move back towards 61.8% retracement (near $1,200–$1,600) is still present unless bulls reclaim higher levels.
  7. Volume Profile:
    • Heavy accumulation noted between $1,500 – $2,200.
    • Above $2,600, there’s less volume resistance, allowing faster upward movement if broken.
  8. Moving Averages:
    • Price is currently:
      • Slightly above or testing the 50-week MA.
      • Below the 100-week MA and well below 200-week MA.
    • These MAs could act as dynamic resistance unless convincingly broken.

πŸ“ˆ Scenarios Ahead:

ScenarioPrice TargetsTrigger/Conditions
Bullish Breakout$2,800 β†’ $3,200 β†’ $3,600+Strong weekly close above $2,650–$2,800 with volume
Sideways Accumulation$2,275 β†’ $2,800 rangePrice consolidates between key support and resistance
Bearish Breakdown$2,200 β†’ $1,642 β†’ $1,200Weekly close below $2,275 triggers deeper correction

πŸ“Œ Summary Takeaways:

βœ… Bulls need to reclaim $2,800–$3,000 to signal a stronger uptrend continuation.
βœ… Losing $2,275–$2,400 could open up risk towards $1,600–$1,200.
βœ… Macro-level resistance near ATH zones (~$4,000) is still far off but will be the next big challenge.

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